Super Bowl Betting: The Ultimate Guide to the Big Game

Super Bowl betting is legal in 39 U.S. states (plus DC and Puerto Rico) and drew a record $23.1 billion in wagers on Super Bowl LIX. The best Super Bowl betting sites are FanDuel, BetMGM, and DraftKings.

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  • Most Popular Bets – Point spread, Over/Under total, Super Bowl MVP, first touchdown scorer
  • Best Time to Bet – Opening lines offer best value; prop bets peak Super Bowl week
  • Key Markets – 500+ prop bets available, including player props, game props, and novelty props
  • Beginner Tip – Start with main markets (spread, total, moneyline) before exploring props

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Super Bowl betting is the biggest single-day wagering event in American sports, with over 68 million adults betting a record $23.1 billion on Super Bowl LIX. The best Super Bowl betting sites are FanDuel, BetMGM, and DraftKings, offering hundreds of prop markets and competitive odds.

Our picks as the best Super Bowl betting sites include FanDuel, BetMGM and DraftKings. These sites offer hundreds of props betting markets and alternate spreads, alongside novelty wagers like the outcome of the coin toss.

The Super Bowl is the biggest single-day wagering event in the US, with approximately 68 million adults staking $23.1 billion on Super Bowl LIX. This number could well increase ahead of Super Bowl LX, as the Seahawks take on the Patriots in Santa Clara.

Best Super Bowl Betting Sites

Let’s start by analyzing the leading Super Bowl betting sites in North America. Below, you’ll find reviews of our top 5 sportsbooks for the event and the features that set them apart.

FanDuel Sportsbook

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FanDuel is our number 1 Super Bowl sportsbook. It’s also the top-ranked site on Apple’s iOS betting platform, having amassed an average rating of 4.8/5 from more than 2 million reviews. See our full FanDuel review.

In terms of Super Bowl LIX in 2026, the site accepted over $16 million in wagers. Many of these were placed on FanDuel’s extensive range of prop markets, which cover key performance metrics such as passing, rushing and receiving. You can even access quarter prop markets here, including alternate passing yard lines.

The site also enables you to edit and construct same-game parlays (SGPs) online. These can include a broad selection of markets, including anytime touchdown scorers, total receptions and the players who will record a 30+ yard reception.

BetMGM Sportsbook

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BetMGM offers an impressive range of Super Bowl SGP lines, with 400+ available ahead of the showpiece match. These cover performance metrics such as pass completions, passing touchdowns and interceptions thrown, which are expressed as over/under markets. This range helped the site to take a record number of wagers ahead of Super Bowl LIX. Learn more in our BetMGM review.

For example, you could build a 3-leg SGP that backs the Seahawks at -4.5 points, Kenneth Walker III as the first touchdown scorer and over 45.5 points being scored in total. This unlocks odds of +1200 and an implied probability of 7.7%.

The BetMGM sportsbook has also been integrated seamlessly with the MGM Rewards program. As a result, you can earn 50 Rewards and Tier credits for every $100 staked on parlays and SGPs. The former can be used to unlock a diverse selection of rewards, including bonus bet credits and comp for visits for qualifying MGM resorts.

DraftKings Sportsbook

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DraftKings is market leader when it comes to Super Bowl SGPs, offering the largest selection of prebuilt and customizable parlays. This haul includes numerous SGPs that target key players for the Seahawks and Patriots ahead of SB LX, including Drake Maye, Sam Darnold and Hunter Henry. Read our in-depth DraftKings review.

These SGP bets unlock various levels of risk and reward, with odds ranging from +525 to +2800. The respective implied probability values range between 16.0% and 3.4%. DraftKings also features SGP picks from expert analysts such as ESPN’s Mike Clay, enabling you to make more informed and profitable selections.

Across all Super Bowl betting markets, the site is renowned for its relatively low margin and highly competitive odds. The sportsbook’s average margin is 4.15%, which creates superior value when backing Super Bowl spreads, alternate spreads and game totals.

Caesars Sportsbook

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Like BetMGM, Caesars offers exceptional integration between its sportsbook and rewards platforms. Reward Credits and Tier Credits can be earned at a rate of up to 10 for every $100 wagered on straight bets, and 20 for every $100 staked on parlays and SGPs. The maximum RC earning rate for parlays is unlocked when you wager at odds of +200 or higher.

Reward credits can be redeemed at over 50 Caesars resorts, including US-based casinos and destination hotels. The site’s locations are home to a number of participating brands and restaurants too, creating a more varied range of rewards when compared to rival Super Bowl betting sites.

You’ll also find extensive NFL and Super Bowl odds boosts at Caesars, which can increase the profitability of winning bets by between 10% and 50% on average. Such boosts are being applied largely to combination and SGP lines, including Drake Maye to complete over 199.5 passing yards and throw 1.5+ passing touchdowns at Super Bowl LX.

When building Super Bowl SGPs, the site lets you include a market leading 12 legs.

bet365 Sportsbook

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Last, but not least, we come to bet365. This is a reputable sportsbook with international betting expertise, and one that’s offering extensive alternate 2-way point spreads ahead of the Super Bowl.

These range between +15.5 points and -24.5 points when backing the Seahawks, enabling you to either access enhanced odds or maximize your chances of winning. A similar range is available when betting on the Patriots.

Understanding Super Bowl Odds

When you browse the Super Bowl odds, you’ll see that there are 3 primary markets: namely spreads, totals and moneylines. But how do each of these betting markets work, and why are they so popular among bettors? We’ll explore each one in more detail below.

How Super Bowl Point Spreads Work

Super Bowl point spreads are applied to both the favorite and the underdog, in order to create enhanced odds or increase our chances of winning. Favorites will carry a negative point spread that creates enhanced odds, but they’ll have to beat this for the wager to pay out.

For example, the Seahawks can be backed to defeat the Patriots with a -4.5-point spread. This lengthens their moneyline odds of -230 to -115, creating higher potential returns but a lower implied probability value. This is because the Seahawks must win by a margin of 5 points or more for the wager to succeed.

You can back an underdog with a positive point spread. In this case, you could apply a +4.5-point spread to the Patriots, unlocking odds that are shorter than the moneyline but indicate a much higher chance of winning. This wager will pay out in instances where the Patriots win or lose by 4 points or fewer.

Super Bowl spread betting is dominated by several key numbers. This is why they commonly range between 3.5 and 10.5 points. Below, you can view the most common winning margins and why they occur so often.

Key Number Significance Typical Scenario

3

The Most Common Winning Margin

The Value of a Field Goal

7

2nd Most Frequent Winning Margin

A Touchdown with an Extra Point

6

The Next Most Common Winning Margin

A Touchdown Without an Extra Point

10

A Commonly Occurring Winning Margin

A Touchdown with an Additional Field Goal

Alternate Spreads and Commission (or Juice)

Sportsbooks like bet365 also offer a huge selection of alternate spreads when wagering on the Super Bowl. These start at 1.5 points and can increase to 24.5 points or higher, depending on the competing teams.

Although alternate spreads cover less common NFL and Super Bowl winning margins, they create more flexibility when betting and offer value to highly analytical bettors. This is because you can select a spread based on your analysis of the 2 competing sides, as you look to either maximize returns or simply boost your chances of winning.

A sportsbook’s juice or commission is also most visible when engaging in spread betting. Usually, consensus spreads are priced at -110, which is indicative of a 10% margin and means that you’ll pay $11 to win $10 on average. Books with lower margins will offer more competitively priced spreads, which peak at -105 in some instances.

Super Bowl Moneyline Betting

Moneyline odds enable you to bet on the outright winner of the Super Bowl, regardless of the margin of victory. As this is a more straightforward betting market, it tends to unlock significantly shorter odds for favorites, while underdogs can be backed to win at much higher prices.

Ahead of Super Bowl LX, the Seahawks are priced at -235 to beat the Patriots. This outcome has an implied probability of 70.1%, but a $100 stake will return just $42.55 in profit. Their opponents are the +194 underdogs, so they have just a 34.0% chance of winning. However, you can bank a return of $194.00 on a $100 stake.

Moneyline betting offers minimal value if you believe the favorites will win, unless you’re risk-averse or want to commit a larger stake amount. However, you may engage in moneyline betting when backing selected underdogs, especially if your analysis shows that their actual probability of winning is higher than the odds imply.

Below, we’ve compared some example Super Bowl moneyline and spread bets, including odds analysis and their win probability. This can help provide greater context when choosing how to wager on the Super Bowl.

Bet / Bet TypeWin CriteriaOdds (Probability)Potential Return (on a $100 Stake)Ideal For
Moneyline (Seahawks to Win Outright)Seahawks Must Win the Match-235 (70.1%)$42.55Risk-averse bettors who want to maximize their chances of winning
Moneyline (Patriots to Win Outright)Patriots Must Win the Match+194 (34.0%)$194.00If your analysis suggests the underdogs have a higher probability of winning
Spread (Seahawks at -4.5 Points)Seahawks Must Win By 5 Points or More-115 (53.5%)$86.96If you want to back the favorites at slightly enhanced odds
Spread (Patriots at +4.5 Points)Patriots Must Win or Lose By 4 Points or Fewer+105 (48.8%)$105.00If you want to cover more potential outcomes and pursue incremental profits

Free Super Bowl Betting Calculators

Super Bowl Over/Under Totals Explained

The Super Bowl over under commonly applies to totals betting. This refers to the total number of points that will be scored in the game.

Usually, books set a consensus total as an individual betting line (such as 45.5 points). This will be based on analysis of each team and their scoring averages. You’ll then have to wager whether the actual total will be over or under this threshold, with each outcome offering even odds of -110 on average. Once again, alternate total lines may also be made available.

Across the previous 19 Super Bowls, under has prevailed on 11 occasions (57.8%). However, Super Bowl LIX bucked this trend, as the Eagles and the Chiefs shared 62 points in a high-scoring encounter. Interestingly, the consensus totals line ahead of this match was set at 48.5.

In addition to analysis of the competing teams and their average points-per-game (PPG) in the NFL, other factors impact totals betting. These include:

  • Defense – It’s also important to analyze key defensive metrics, such as the average number of points conceded per game by both sides. This can also offer an insight into potential spread and winning margin picks.
  • Weather Conditions – Certain weather conditions will also impact scoring. Heavy winds can disrupt passing games and field goal kicking accuracy, while precipitation has an even greater impact on FG% and kicking games.
  • Injuries – Injuries to key players can also be impactful, particularly those in seminal offensive roles such as quarterback or wide receiver. Tracking real-time injury and team news may even help you to identify potential value bets in this market.

Reading Super Bowl Betting Lines

The unique 2-week gap between the NFL Championship games and the Super Bowl can make it hard to time your wagers. For example, it’s not uncommon for a -3.5 spread betting favorite to sharpen to -4.5 points within hours of the odds being released, due to heavy public betting volumes.

In this case, the spread betting odds remain unchanged, but the increased point spread is slightly harder to beat. So, there’s generally value to be found in backing favorites as early as possible, especially when making moneyline or spread picks. This helps you to maximize value, both in terms of odds and your chances of winning.

Conversely, it’s often better to exercise a little more patience when betting on underdogs. They’ll also be affected by a change to the consensus spread, with an increase from +3.5 to +4.5 points covering more potential match outcomes. So, adjusting for this slightly increases your chances of winning without necessarily changing the odds.

Initial totals betting lines are typically soft, so they create broader value and higher potential returns. These odds will sharpen in relation to confirmed team news and weather reports as the game approaches, however, creating lower payouts but a greater chance of winning overall.

Complete Super Bowl Prop Bets Guide

Outside of spreads and totals, Super Bowl prop bets are the most popular wager types. Below, we’ll address precisely how prop bets work and explore the different performance metrics that they focus on.

What Are Super Bowl Prop Bets

A prop (or proposition) bet can relate to specific performance metrics and events that occur during the game. However, these events don’t directly impact the final score and outcome.

There are 4 main categories of prop bet: namely player, team, game and novelty. These wager types unlock hundreds of betting lines in total, many of which can be combined into lucrative SGPs. This variety contributes to the popularity of prop betting, which comprises approximately 50% of the total Super Bowl betting handle. See our prop betting sites guide for the best platforms for Super Bowl props.

Player Props

Player props are the most popular and commonly available. They focus on the most impactful and widely tracked individual performance metrics, including passing and rushing yards and receptions.

In these instances, featured players are ascribed a consensus total based on their historical performances and scoring averages. You can then wager whether a player’s total will be over or under this threshold. At books like DraftKings, you can even access alternate prop lines to create additional choice and value.

Some player props also eschew the over/under format. For example, you can bet whether a player will achieve a specific feat during the game, such as recording a sack or scoring multiple touchdowns.

First and Anytime Touchdown Scorer Props

You can access a number of different touchdown scorer markets ahead of the Super Bowl. The most popular is the first touchdown scorer market, as this unlocks lengthy odds and potentially sizable returns.

Ahead of Super Bowl LX, for example, Seahawks star Kenneth Walker III can be backed at +360 to score the first touchdown. This is the shortest market price, but one that only unlocks an implied probability value of 21.7%. This is clearly a higher-risk market, and this should be reflected by your stake amount.

The same player is priced at -200 to score anytime during the match. He ranks in the top 15 for rushing yards completed in the 2026 NFL, completing 1,027 in total to emerge as one of the most effective running backs. These odds imply a win probability of 66.7%, but the potential payout is also significantly lower.

You can also pick players to score 2+ touchdowns during the Super Bowl. As with picking the first touchdown scorer, this prop market unlocks lengthy odds and relatively low win probabilities.

Game Props

Super Bowl game props are focused on collective performance metrics and combined totals. You can access game props that cover the duration of the match, alongside alternative lines for specific quarters and halves.

Prominent examples include the total number of combined points scored in a game, half or quarter. You can also bet on how many combined touchdowns and field goals will be scored during the match, once again based on historic scoring analysis.

Of course, there’s a significant crossover between game and team props. While the former focus on combined totals, team props relate to individual team performances. This particularly applies to the points, touchdowns and field goals scored.

Other common game props include first drive outcomes and specific play scenarios. For example, you can wager on the outcome of the first drive, with possible picks including a punt, offensive touchdown or field goal attempt. The former is usually the favorite pick, and typically offers even money odds.

Novelty Props

Super Bowl betting also unlocks a broad selection of so-called novelty spreads. Let’s take a closer look at the most popular:

  • Super Bowl Coin Toss – This is an even money wager that requires you to pick the winner of the Super Bowl coin toss. It’s a completely chance-based outcome, so we’d recommend committing just a small stake to this wager. Remember, this outcome also has absolutely no discernible impact on the final result.
  • National Anthem Over/Under – The National Anthem is performed before every Super Bowl, and you can wager the over/under on how long each performance will last. The consensus line is usually fixed at around 120.5 seconds, while Batiste is expected to sing the anthem at Super Bowl LX. Understanding this may help to inform your pick, but this is another largely chance-based outcome that should be backed sparingly.
  • Gatorade Color – Ever since the mid-80s, the winning Super Bowl coach has been showered in Gatorade. You can bet on the color that this liquid will be, with options including orange, blue, purple and yellow. Interestingly, orange has been the most widely-used color since 2001 (20.8%), while blue has accounted for 40% of all Gatorade showers since 2015.
  • Half-Time Show Props – The iconic half-time show (which featured Kendrick Lamar and was watched by 133.5 million global viewers at Super Bowl LIX) underpins a number of prop bets. You can wager the over/under on how many people will watch a particular Super Bowl, for example, or predict the first song that will be performed. Bad Bunny is scheduled to perform at Super Bowl LX, and his hit ALAMBRE PuA is among the current betting lines.

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Super Bowl MVP Betting

Super Bowl MVP betting is also incredibly popular, as it’s focused on star individual performers and unlocks highly competitive odds. It’s also a market that tends to be dominated by quarterbacks, with players in this position having claimed the award in 34 out of the 59 Super Bowls contested (57.6%).

Eagles’ QB Jalen Hurts claimed the award at Super Bowl LIX, after scoring 3 touchdowns (2 passing and 1 rushing) and recording an event-high 72 rushing yards.

From a positional perspective, wide receivers are the next most likely to win the MVP award. 9 wide receivers have earned this accolade (15.2%), while 7 running backs have also been crowned (11.8%). Clearly, offensive players dominate the MVP betting market, accounting for 50 of all 59 awards (84.7%).

A Look Ahead to Super Bowl LX

These trends are reflected by the Super Bowl MVP odds for 2026. Seahawks QB Sam Darnold is the early favorite to win the award at Super Bowl LX, with FanDuel pricing him at +110. His direct opponent Drake Maye is priced a little longer at +230, so he has a 30.3% chance of winning (compared to 47.6% for Darnold).

However, Maye has slightly outperformed Darnold from an individual perspective during the NFL season. He has recorded more passing yards (4,394 vs 4,048), while also posting a higher pass completion rate (72.0% vs 67.7%). However, his longer odds reflect the Patriots’ status as underdogs.

MVP Betting Strategies

It’s hard to pick the Super Bowl MVP without determining the team that’s most likely to win. After all, the MVP winner has come from the victorious team in every year since 1971, when Dallas Cowboys linebacker Chuck Howley triumphed despite his side losing to the Baltimore Colts.

So, you’ll need to analyse the matchup and predict the most likely winners before evaluating MVP betting odds. If you do want to back a favorite such as Darnold, it’s wise to bet as soon as possible and before odds shorten. Conversely, underdog picks may see their own odds drift slightly as the Super Bowl draws closer.

In terms of backing long shots, remember that defensive players are statistically unlikely to win the MVP award. However, wide receivers can offer value, once again depending on who they play for and their form.

Ahead of Super Bowl LX, Seahawks wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba is priced at +600 to be crowned MVP. He has posted 119 receptions and 1,793 receiving yards in 2026, while ranking joint-3rd for touchdowns (10). A successful $100 wager here will unlock a profit of $600, while the implied probability value is 14.3%.

How to Bet on the Super Bowl

When learning how to bet on Super Bowl markets, there are several considerations to keep in mind. Below, you’ll find a step-by-step guide on how to confirm state legality, open a betting account and start wagering.

Choose a Legal Sportsbook

Start by addressing the sports betting laws in your state, with 39 jurisdictions having now legalized the practice. If sports betting has been regulated in your state, you can then select a licensed sportsbook such as FanDuel, BetMGM or DraftKings.

Create an Account and Verify Your Identity

You can now create an account on your chosen betting site. This will require you to provide a verifiable email and secure password, alongside your legal name, date of birth and address. Before you request a withdrawal, licensed sites will require you to verify your age and ID using supporting documentation.

Make a First Deposit

Now, complete your first deposit. Visit the Deposit or Cashier page when logged in to your account, before confirming a valid payment method and the amount you want to spend.

Navigate the Super Bowl Markets

As we’ve touched on, there’s a huge range of Super Bowl betting markets and props available. You can navigate these in full, with sports and lines usually accessible via a vertical menu on the left-hand side of the lobby.

Select and Build Your Wagers

When you identify high value markets, click on their odds and they’ll automatically populate your bet slip in the bottom right-hand corner of the screen. When picking multiple lines, you can organize these into single bets or same-game parlays.

Place Your Bets

Once you’re happy with your selections, simply set your stake and calculate your potential payout. Then, hit Confirm or Place Bets to commit your stake. You can then track your pre-game bets as the match unfolds, while remaining aware of potential hedging opportunities as markets turn against you.

Super Bowl Parlay Betting Strategies

DraftKings offers a huge selection of prebuilt SGPs, while BetMGM lets you build same-game parlays from more than 400 available betting lines. Below, we’ll look at how you can build effective Super Bowl parlay bets that look to strike the delicate balance between risk and reward.

Avoid Picks That Have a Negative Correlation

When betting on outcomes in the same game, you’ll usually encounter some type of correlation. This can be either positive or negative in nature, with both examples impacting cumulative odds and your chances of winning.

For example, positive correlation increases your chances of placing a winning SGP. However, this is factored in by sportsbooks when calculating a wager’s cumulative odds, so same-game parlays with positive correlation will typically offer lower payouts.

Conversely, wagers with a negative correlation should be avoided completely. Although these can offer significantly higher payouts, they’re also statistically unlikely to payout due to the conflicting nature of 2 or more picks.

For example, let’s say that you back 1 team to score under 17.5 points and their star wide receiver to post over 110.5 receiving yards. It’s unlikely for a wide receiver to record such a significant yardage without this translating into a points total higher than 18, so the bet is almost certain to fail.

Risk vs Reward Calculations

Cumulative SGP odds can vary wildly based on the number of picks and each individual line price. However, they almost always unlock odds of +100 or higher, while DraftKings’ selection of 3 and 4-leg Super Bowl LX SGPs are priced at between +525 and +2800.

It’s important to analyze your SGP picks in detail and carry out comprehensive risk and reward calculations. Broadly speaking, you can also use true odds to calculate both your exposure to risk and potential SGP returns. As we can see below, the probability of building a winning SGP halves with every additional pick.

No. of Picks True Odds of Winning (Probability) Average Profit on a $100 Bet

2 Picks

3 to 1 (25.0%)

$300.00

3 Picks

7 to 1 (12.5%)

$700.00

4 Picks

15 to 1 (6.3%)

$1,500.00

5 Picks

31 to 1 (3.1%)

$3,100.00

6 Picks

63 to 1 (1.6%)

$6,300.00

7 Picks

127 to 1 (0.8%)

$12,700.00

8 Picks

255 to 1 (0.4%)

$25,500.00

9 Picks

511 to 1 (0.2%)

$51,100.00

10 Picks

1,023 to 1 (0.1%)

$102,300.00

Ultimately, it’s 3 and 4-leg SGPs that offer the best balance and value. These wagers offer implied probability values of 12.5% and 6.3% respectively, while potential payouts of $700.00 and $1,500 are still generous.

Use a Parlay Calculator

We’d also recommend that you use a parlay calculator before constructing your SGP for real. This helps you automatically calculate the precise cumulative odds for a particular bet, while you can remove and add legs in an attempt to maximize value.

Parlay calculators will reveal your final odds and potential payout in relation to your stake. You may have to use a separate tool to calculate the implied probability of your SGP, which will also impact your decision making.

Live Betting During the Super Bowl

Super Bowl live betting is also incredibly popular. This unlocks a broad selection of in-play markets, including adjusted moneylines, spreads and totals, dynamic props and so-called Flash wagers. The latter are focused on markets that will be settled in minutes, such as the scorer of the next touchdown. Here are some in-play betting strategies to keep in mind:

Track Pre-Game and Live Line Movements

Pre-game line movements can impact your live betting strategies, especially if public betting heavily favours 1 side.

Ahead of Super Bowl LX, we’ve already seen significant backing for the Seahawks, forcing their consensus spread to shift from -3.5 points to -4.5. If this is driven by public betting trends, it may be an overreaction that creates value on the other side of the spread.

This also impacts starting and live odds, so there may be value in backing the Patriots with a + spread early on in the match. This is especially true if the game starts tentatively and remains relatively tight.

Hedging Opportunities

Live betting markets also create hedging opportunities, in instances where you’ve already wagered on selected Super Bowl outcomes.

For example, let’s say that you’ve previously backed the Patriots to win Super Bowl LX. However, they fall behind early and allow the Seahawks to open up a large lead in the opening quarter. In this instance, there may be value in backing Seattle to win the game and hedging your original wager.

The key is to set an optimal stake amount when backing Seattle, so that you can guarantee at least a nominal profit regardless of the final outcome. You can use a dedicated hedging calculator to establish the ideal bet unit and potentially rescue a losing position.

Use Team Form and Historic Performances to Inform Live Bets

In Super Bowl LVII, the Chiefs became the first side in NFL history to overcome an overtime deficit. Prior to this victory, Kansas had prevailed in their last 8 games in which they’d trailed in the second half, creating numerous live betting opportunities in the process.

For teams that demonstrate an ability to comeback from losing positions, a viable strategy may be to watch the first quarter and wait for them to fall behind. This will adjust the spread and moneyline odds in your favor, enabling you to create potential value wagers.

Form and scoring statistics can also inform potentially successful live wagers. The key is to analyze datasets that are the most relevant to your target markets.

Super Bowl Futures Betting Explained

Super Bowl futures enable you to pick the winner of the event. Prices are released early and often before the end of the previous season, with books like FanDuel already offering odds on the potential victor in Super Bowl LXI. Here’s a summary of the early futures odds in this market:

Team Super Bowl LXI Odds

Seattle Seahawks

+750

Los Angeles Rams

+800

Baltimore Ravens

+1200

Buffalo Bills

+1200

Green Bay Packers

+1300

As we can see, Super Bowl LX contenders the Seahawks are also the early favorites to prevail next year. Their odds of +750 unlock an implied probability of 11.8%, which may appear low but reflects the fledgling nature of the market and the number of potential winners.

These odds also highlight the importance of backing potential favorites and frontrunners early and before their odds shorten during the course of the regular season. From a value analysis perspective, the starting favourite has prevailed in 37 of the previous 58 Super Bowls contested (63.7%).

Expert Super Bowl Betting Tips and Strategies

The range of Super Bowl betting markets is huge and diverse, so identifying the best value lines can be challenging. So, we’ve prepared some Super Bowl betting tips to help you make the most informed selections possible.

  • When to Bet – As a general rule across all markets, it’s better to wager as early as possible when backing favorites or favored outcomes. Conversely, underdogs are more likely to see their odds stabilize initially before potentially drifting longer, enabling you a little more time to target optimal outcomes. Late lines can also offer value when betting on totals, which are heavily influenced by confirmed team news and live weather conditions.
  • Public vs Sharp Money Indicators – At the time of writing, some 65% of all public bets have backed the Seahawks at -4.5 points. 68% of public money has been committed to Seattle, causing their consensus spread to increase by a single point. However, this spread has stabilized in recent days, perhaps suggesting that sharp money is beginning to back the Patriots at +4.5 points. This makes sense given the underdog’s historic ability to cover the spread.
  • Key Spread Betting Numbers – Accessing alternate spreads at sites like bet365 can help to create value, especially when they target variable margins between 2.5 and 7.5. Remember, 3 and 7 are the most common winning margins in the NFL and Super Bowl, and buying or selling lines between these points can deliver the highest chance of success. This is also why backing the Patriots at +4.5 points is appealing to bettors.
  • Weather Factors – As we’ve touched on, weather conditions have a direct impact on Super Bowl odds and outcomes. Super Bowl LX will be the 2nd to be hosted at the Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, with the first in 2016 yielding a low-scoring match between the Broncos and Panthers (24-10). This was due to gusty winds, which impact FG percentages negatively and can impact kicking or rushing games.
  • Common Mistakes to Avoid – As a beginner, it’s wise not to blindly follow public betting trends. Similarly, it’s important not to accept the first price you find on a particular market. Instead, take the time to shop lines across different licensed sportsbooks that are available in your state, as this can create optimal value and potentially increase profits by between 2% and 5% on average.

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Super Bowl Betting History and Trends

The Super Bowl betting volumes have enjoyed significant growth of late, rising from just $4.8 billion in 2021 to an incredible $23.1 billion in 2025. This is only 1 historical trend associated with the NFL’s showpiece game, however, some of which are capable of helping to inform your Super Bowl picks.

  • Underdogs Covering the Spread – Underdogs have covered the spread in the last 5 Super Bowls, while winning 3 consecutive iterations. Since the year 2007, underdogs are 11-7 overall and 13-5 ATS in the Super Bowl. It should also be noted that the Patriots have gone 13-6-1 ATS in 2026 and covered 68.4% of time, and these trends would appear to support New England at +4.5 points.
  • Betting Under May Unlock Value – As we’ve already mentioned, betting under the consensus totals line would have yielded a result in 11 of the last 19 Super Bowls (57.8%). This supports under betting ahead of Super Bowl LX, especially as the Seahawks and the Patriots boasted the best defensive records in the 2026 season (conceding just 17.1 and 17.3 PPG respectively). New England have even recorded shutouts in the final quarter in each of their last 4 matches.
  • Favor the Team That Scores First – From a live betting or hedging perspective, it should be noted that the team that has opened the scoring has won 38 of the 59 Super Bowls contested historically (64.4%). This is probably due to the usually tight and evenly contested nature of the Super Bowl, while the trend has greater relevance in Super Bowl LX due to the defensive excellence of both competing sides. The team that has scored first has also won 9 of the previous 14 Super Bowls (64.2%).
  • Props and First TD Scorer Betting – Historically, wide receivers have scored the opening touchdown in the Super Bowl on 25 occasions (42.3% of all games). Running backs have achieved this feat on 17 occasions (28.8%), which is why Kenneth Walker III is favored in the markets. However, wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba offers particular value here at -115 ahead of Super Bowl LX, and we’d expect his odds to shorten ahead of the match.
YearSuper BowlBettors (Millions)Handle (Billions)
2025LIX (Eagles vs Chiefs)68.0$23.1
2024LVIII (Chiefs vs 49ers)68.0$23.1
2023LVII (Chiefs vs Eagles)50.4$16.0
2022LVI (Rams vs Bengals)31.4$7.6
2021LV (Bucs vs Chiefs)23.2$4.3

Source: American Gaming Association annual surveys

Legal Considerations

As we’ve touched on, sports betting is currently legal in 39 US states, plus Puerto Rico and DC. However, there are 11 states and jurisdictions that have yet to legalize or regulate sports betting, meaning that you can only wager at unlicensed sportsbooks that are based offshore.

Missouri became the 39th state to legalize sports betting in the US, on December 1st, 2025.

It should also be noted that New Mexico, North Dakota, Washington and Wisconsin offer sports betting under an existing Class III gaming compact. Below, you can see a summary of every legal state and the verticals through which they offer sports betting:

Super Bowl Betting Legal States (2026)
21+ States (Most) 18+ States

AZ, AR, CO, CT, DE, FL, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MO, MS, NV, NJ, NY, NC, OH, OR, PA, TN, VA, WV, WI, and others

MT, NH, RI, WY, DC

Total: 39 states plus DC and Puerto Rico offer full legal Super Bowl betting as of 2026.

In terms of restrictions, there are 25 states that prohibit an athlete or related person from betting on sports.

These include Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Illinois, Iowa, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Virginia, Washington DC, West Virginia and Wyoming.

Gamble Responsibly

Given the highly publicised nature of the Super Bowl and the range of markets available, it can be challenging to gamble responsibly and within your means. So, it’s important to set a conservative bankroll that doesn’t exceed an amount you can afford to lose.

We’d also recommend that you use customizable deposit limits to manage your bankroll. Other available tools include time outs, reality checks and even periods of self-exclusion.

Get Help if Needed:

National Hotline: 1-800-522-4700 (24/7 free support)

Website: ncpgambling.org

You must be at least 21 years old to bet in most states (18+ in MT, NH, RI, WY, DC).

Problem gambling resources by state: Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, KS, KY, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, WY); (800) 327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA); (877) 8-HOPENY (NY); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); (888) 789-7777 (CT); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN); morethanagame.nc.gov (NC).

Super Bowl Betting FAQs

What are the best Super Bowl betting sites?

Our picks as the best Super Bowl betting sites are FanDuel, BetMGM and DraftKings. These sites combine pre-built and customizable SGPs, excellent prop variety and highly competitive odds.

How do Super Bowl odds work?

Super Bowl odds are available across a number of markets, including moneylines, spreads and totals. You can also access player, game and novelty props. Odds indicate both the potential return in relation to your stake, while they can be used to calculate the probability of a particular outcome occurring.

What are Super Bowl prop bets?

Super Bowl prop bets are focused on in-game events and performance metrics that don’t directly impact the final result. They can focus on individual players and teams, alongside combined totals such as the number of points scored. Novelty props are largely chance-based outcomes such as the winner of the coin toss.

How do you bet on the Super Bowl coin toss?

To bet on the Super Bowl coin toss, you simply need to pick which team you think will be successful and start the game in possession. The odds of both potential outcomes will be even and usually capped at -110. Statistics show that this event has absolutely no impact on the final result.

What is Super Bowl MVP betting?

Super Bowl MVP betting is a futures market that lets you pick who will be crowned as the game’s most valuable player. You can wager on this from the pre-season to just before the Super Bowl, while the victor usually plays for the winning team. Sam Darnold is the pre-game favourite ahead of Super Bowl LX, with relatively short odds of +110.

How does the Super Bowl point spread work?

Super Bowl point spread is used to create increased value, especially when betting on the favorite. The favored team will be given a negative point spread or handicap that they’ll have to overcome to win, increasing the odds in your favour. You can also bet on a positive point spread for the underdog, shortening the odds but affording you a greater chance of winning.

Can I live bet during the Super Bowl?

Yes, you can. Super Bowl live betting unlocks a large selection of in-play markets, including adjusted moneylines, spreads and totals. You can also wager on selected outcomes in specific halves and quarters. So-called flash wagers focus on outcomes that will be settled within minutes, such as the outcome of the next drive or play.

What are Super Bowl futures bets?

Super Bowl futures focus on long-term outcomes and can be wagered on throughout the season. The most popular futures include the eventual Super Bowl winner, alongside the victors of the NFC and AFC Championships. You can also wager on the identity of the game’s MVP winner.

Is Super Bowl betting legal in my state?

After Missouri launched legal sports betting in December 2025, this practice is now lawful in 39 states (plus Puerto Rico and DC). However, 11 states still prohibit sports betting. So, you’ll need to check the law in your state before choosing a licensed operator.

What are the best Super Bowl betting tips?

The best Super Bowl betting tips and odds will depend on your wider strategy and preferred markets. According to historic trends, underdogs regularly cover the spread in the Super Bowl, perhaps due to the impact of public betting. Betting under the consensus totals line may also offer value in most Super Bowl matchups.

I write and edit sportsbook reviews, betting guides and match predictions for Topend Sports, using a law background to turn the fine print into plain English, and I personally fact-check every review before it goes live.