Our Premier League predictions have Arsenal winning the 2026 title. Arsenal is also the current title favorite at +120 with US sportsbooks.
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Our EPL predictions make Arsenal the team to beat after their title-winning season. Continuity under Mikel Arteta and added midfield depth from Bruno Guimarães strengthen their case, while Manchester City and Liverpool remain the main challengers as both adapt to managerial changes.
Our forecast weighs current form, squad strength, injuries, fixture difficulty and underlying performance data, including how congestion and rotation could shape the title race as domestic and European schedules overlap.
Our 2026 EPL Predictions, Title Forecast and Picks
Our Premier League predictions make Arsenal the team to beat after Mikel Arteta guided the club to last season’s title. The defending champions enter the new campaign with greater managerial continuity than several leading rivals, while the additions of Bruno Guimarães and Christos Tzolis have strengthened a squad already built around an established defense. Arsenal remain the broader market favorite ahead of the new season.
The picture behind Arsenal has changed considerably since our previous EPL predictions update. Manchester City begin a new era under Enzo Maresca following Pep Guardiola’s departure, while Liverpool are adapting to Andoni Iraola. Nine Premier League clubs start the campaign with new managers, making Arsenal’s continuity under Arteta an important part of our forecast.
Our EPL picks will account for those changes rather than relying only on last season’s standings. In August 2026, I checked DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365 US and found Arsenal priced at +120 to win the Premier League at all three sportsbooks. That price reinforces their favorite status, although futures odds will continue to move with results, injuries, transfers and squad availability.
EPL Picks This Week
Our EPL picks for cover all 10 fixtures on the official Premier League schedule. These Premier League picks this week focus on specific match markets rather than our season-long predictions. We also use our EPL score predictions to assess likely game scripts before selecting moneylines, totals, BTTS and Draw No Bet markets. Picks are updated as injuries, confirmed lineups and market prices change.
Premier League
vs
Arsenal to Win
Premier League
vs
Manchester United to Win
Premier League
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Sunderland AFC to Win
Premier League
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Everton FC to Win
Premier League
vs
Nottingham Forest to Win
Premier League
vs
Brentford FC to Win
Premier League
vs
Manchester City to Win
Premier League
vs
Draw
Premier League
vs
Liverpool to Win
Premier League
vs
Chelsea FC to Win
If any of the market terms in the table are unfamiliar, our betting glossary explains common sportsbook terminology and bet types.
Our Premier League best bets for the matchweek are selected from the markets above based on matchup strength, current team news and the value available at legal US sportsbooks. Bettors who combine multiple selections should understand how parlay betting changes the potential payout and requires every leg to win for the wager to cash.
Premier League Odds and Title Favorites
The latest Premier League odds make Arsenal the title favorite and our pick to retain the championship. When I checked English Premier League odds at DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365 US in August 2026, Arsenal were +120 at all three sportsbooks. A winning $100 wager at +120 returns $220, a $120 profit. Our guide to reading American odds explains how plus and minus prices translate into potential returns.
Premier League Odds Winner
Arsenal is our pick to win the Premier League, which means our prediction currently agrees with the market favorite. However, agreeing on the likely champion does not automatically mean the available price represents value. Odds of +120 imply a probability of about 45.5%. Our approach to finding value against the market therefore considers whether Arsenal’s projected title probability is higher than the probability implied by that price.
Arsenal’s case rests partly on continuity. Mikel Arteta remains in charge after last season’s title breakthrough, while Manchester City and Liverpool adapt to managerial changes. Arsenal have also strengthened their midfield with Bruno Guimarães while keeping the defensive foundation that won them the title.
The Premier League odds to win differ between legal US sportsbooks and change as results, injuries and transfers alter expectations. These season-long markets are covered in our futures betting explained guide. When comparing Premier League odds today, check current prices rather than an earlier snapshot. Our table resolves by location and shows only sportsbooks licensed in the reader’s state.
| Sportsbook | Arsenal title odds |
|---|---|
|
DraftKings |
+120 |
|
BetMGM |
+120 |
|
bet365 US |
+120 |
For individual games, the market differs from the outright title market. A standard Premier League moneyline has three outcomes, home win, draw and away win. Our guide to how moneyline odds work explains how American prices translate into implied probability. US bettors comparing to win the Premier League odds should distinguish season-long futures from three-way match markets, where the draw is a live outcome.
Club by Club Title Odds
Liverpool Premier League odds are +550, making the Reds one of Arsenal’s primary challengers in the title market. Our forecast also places Liverpool third on 87 points, although the transition under Andoni Iraola adds uncertainty to their title case.
Arsenal Premier League odds are +120, the shortest price among the four leading clubs in our comparison. Arsenal are our predicted champions, and continuity under Mikel Arteta gives them an advantage over several rivals undergoing managerial changes. At +120, the price implies a title probability of approximately 45.5%.
Manchester City Premier League odds are +350, giving City the second-shortest title odds among the four clubs in our table. We project them to finish second on 89 points, four behind Arsenal, with the transition from Pep Guardiola to Enzo Maresca a key variable in their title challenge.
Manchester United Premier League odds are +900, reflecting their status as an outside title contender in our forecast. We project United to finish fifth on 76 points, behind Arsenal, Manchester City, Liverpool and Chelsea, so their title case is considerably weaker than those of the leading contenders.
| Club | Title odds | Our read |
|---|---|---|
|
Liverpool |
+550 |
Primary challenger |
|
Arsenal |
+120 |
Predicted champion |
|
Manchester City |
+350 |
Primary challenger |
|
Manchester United |
+900 |
Outside title contender |
Our Predicted Premier League Table
Our Premier League predictions rank all 20 clubs on projected points over the 38-game season, drawing on expected goals (xG) data from FBref and Understat, alongside home and away splits, squad turnover and injury records, then compared with current market prices.
The EPL predictions table below lists every club with its projected points and a short verdict. Arsenal lead, followed by Manchester City and Liverpool, while Hull City, Coventry City and Ipswich Town fill the three relegation places.
| Predicted Position & Club | Predicted Points | Verdict |
|---|---|---|
|
1. Arsenal |
93 |
Champions and our outright title pick |
|
2. Manchester City |
89 |
Arsenal’s closest projected challenger |
|
3. Liverpool |
87 |
Title challenger adapting to managerial change |
|
4. Chelsea |
83 |
Projected Champions League place |
|
5. Manchester United |
76 |
European contender |
|
6. Tottenham Hotspur |
75 |
Top-six contender |
|
7. Newcastle United |
72 |
Strong European-place contender |
|
8. Aston Villa |
63 |
Upper-mid-table stability |
|
9. Brighton & Hove Albion |
58 |
Solid mid-table finish |
|
10. Leeds United |
53 |
Impressive top-half finish |
|
11. Crystal Palace |
50 |
Clear of the relegation battle |
|
12. Nottingham Forest |
48 |
Secure lower-mid-table finish |
|
13. Fulham |
47 |
Comfortable survival |
|
14. Brentford |
44 |
Competitive season away from danger |
|
15. Everton |
42 |
Survival despite limited squad depth |
|
16. Bournemouth |
40 |
Survives late-season pressure |
|
17. Sunderland |
38 |
Narrowly escapes relegation |
|
18. Ipswich Town |
36 |
Predicted to be relegated |
|
19. Coventry City |
32 |
Difficult top-flight adjustment |
|
20. Hull City |
24 |
Strongest relegation candidate |
Title Race Prediction
Our Premier League predictions put Arsenal first on 93 points, four ahead of Manchester City and six ahead of Liverpool. Arsenal’s advantage comes from continuity under Mikel Arteta and a squad that already proved capable of sustaining a title challenge across a full season. City remain the closest challenger, while Liverpool complete our projected top three.
The variable that could decide the race is squad depth during fixture congestion. Arsenal, City and Liverpool must balance Premier League games with European commitments, making soccer fitness and conditioning demands important when recovery time is short. Rotation and the ability to keep intensity high with key players rested could decide a close title race. Our guide to soccer fitness testing explains how these physical qualities are assessed.
Top Four and Relegation Predictions
Our Premier League predictions have Arsenal, Manchester City, Liverpool and Chelsea occupying the Champions League places, with Manchester United and Tottenham immediately behind them.
Chelsea are projected fourth on 83 points, with United and Tottenham close enough to capitalize if one of the top four struggles with injuries, rotation or European commitments. Our soccer injury data explains why player availability can have such an important effect on team performance.
At the other end, we predict Ipswich Town, Coventry City and Hull City to finish in the bottom three. For US readers new to the system, relegation means the three lowest-finishing clubs drop to the second-tier Championship. Our guide to Premier League terminology explains this and other terms US fans may encounter. Sunderland survive in our forecast, finishing 17th.
Hull City have the weakest outlook of the promoted teams and finish bottom in our table, while Coventry also face a difficult adjustment to Premier League competition. Ipswich complete our projected bottom three despite finishing above Coventry and Hull.
How Accurate Are Our EPL Predictions
We measure the accuracy of our EPL predictions against the final Premier League standings rather than highlighting only successful calls. Last season, our forecast correctly identified Arsenal as champion, predicted three of the eventual top four teams and selected two of the three relegated clubs. Across the full table, our mean points error was 3.8 points.
| Accuracy Measure | Our Prediction Record |
|---|---|
|
Champion |
Correct, Arsenal |
|
Top Four |
3/4, 75% |
|
Relegation |
2/3, 66.7% |
|
Mean Points Error |
3.8 points |
Our strongest result was the title forecast: we predicted Arsenal to win the Premier League, and that call proved correct. The top-four forecast also held up, with three of our four projected clubs finishing in the Champions League places.
The record was not perfect. We missed one top-four club and one of the three teams eventually relegated, producing hit rates of 75% and 66.7% respectively. Our 3.8-point mean error also shows individual club forecasts did not always match the final totals, with a surprise mid-table overperformer and a narrow final-day survival among the notable misses.
No model can fully anticipate injuries, transfers, managerial changes or unexpected form. Publishing the misses alongside the hits gives readers a measurable record for judging our current forecasts rather than relying on accuracy claims alone.
Where to Bet on the Premier League
The best Premier League betting sites depend on where you are physically located because online sportsbook availability is regulated state by state. Use the state-resolved list below to compare legal options available in your location before placing an EPL wager.
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Sportsbook availability, betting markets and promotions can vary by state. For a full comparison of legal operators, state requirements, apps, payment methods and Premier League markets, see our Premier League betting guide.
Licensing and Player Safety
We check each operator’s regulatory status against the relevant official state regulator before displaying it in the geo-resolved odds table. Because US sports betting is regulated state by state, there is no single national sportsbook license or regulator.
We check regulatory status alongside operator availability and review each sportsbook’s safer-gambling controls, which commonly include deposit limits, wagering limits, time-outs and self-exclusion options. Our responsible gambling guide explains these tools and how they can be used to manage betting activity.
Legal sports betting is 21+ in most US states, although requirements vary by jurisdiction. There is no national US self-exclusion register, so players who want to exclude themselves from gambling should use the program provided by their state regulator. Because sportsbook licensing is also state-based, readers should verify an operator through the relevant state gaming authority rather than assuming that availability in one state means it is legal nationwide.
Anyone concerned about their gambling can contact the National Council on Problem Gambling for support and state-specific resources. The National Problem Gambling Helpline can be reached 24/7 at 1-800-522-4700 or by texting the same number. 1-800-GAMBLER is also a standard helpline reference in many jurisdictions. Players seeking to stop gambling can use their state’s self-exclusion program, as there is no single national US self-exclusion register.
Our Final Premier League Forecast for 2026
Our Premier League predictions for 2026 make Arsenal the team to beat, with Manchester City and Liverpool providing the strongest title challenge. Arsenal’s squad depth, defensive strength and continuity give them the edge in our forecast, although fixture congestion and European commitments could narrow the margin as the season develops.
Our EPL predictions and weekly picks will update as results, injuries, squad changes and sportsbook prices shift the picture. For now, Arsenal remain our title pick, and the matchweek selections above reflect our current view of the strongest betting opportunities.
EPL Predictions FAQ
What is the best EPL prediction site?
The best EPL prediction site should publish a transparent methodology, update its forecasts regularly and show its previous results rather than only successful picks. Our forecasts combine expected goals, squad strength, injuries, fixture congestion, home and away performance and current betting prices, with last season’s accuracy record published alongside our current predictions.
Who is likely to win the EPL in 2026?
Arsenal are our predicted Premier League champions for 2026. We project the defending champions to finish on 93 points, ahead of Manchester City on 89 and Liverpool on 87. When I checked DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365 US in August 2026, Arsenal were also the market favorite at +120.
What is the supercomputer prediction for the Premier League?
The supercomputer forecast in our research also favors Arsenal, assigning the Gunners a 38% probability of retaining the Premier League title. Manchester City are given a 20.5% chance, while Liverpool are among the primary challengers. Model probabilities can change as results and team availability change.
Who is the most accurate football predictor?
There is no single football predictor that can be guaranteed to be the most accurate every season. Our published record provides a measurable benchmark: last season we correctly predicted Arsenal as champion, hit 75% of our top-four selections, 66.7% of our relegation picks, and recorded a 3.8-point mean points error.
What are the best Premier League odds?
The best Premier League odds are the highest available price for the selection you want to make at a legal sportsbook in your state. When I checked the title market in August 2026, DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365 US each offered Arsenal at +120 to retain the championship.
Where can I bet on the Premier League in the US?
You can bet on the Premier League through licensed online sportsbooks in states where sports betting is legal. Available operators differ by location, so the page’s geo-resolved toplist should show only sportsbooks available where the reader is physically located.