Premier League
vs
Tottenham to Win (3-2)
Tottenham host Newcastle on the back of a bruising opening day, and we’re calling a high-scoring 3-2 win for the hosts.
Neither club arrives happy. Spurs were dismantled 3-0 at Brentford and carry the weight of a 17th-place finish and a summer spend north of £300m in Roberto De Zerbi’s first full season, while Newcastle come south 12th on last year’s table, without the midfield that built their recent sides, and off a loose 2-2 with Liverpool in Matthias Jaissle’s opening league game.
One name gives the afternoon its edge: Sandro Tonali, sold by Newcastle for £100m over the summer, now pulls the strings for Tottenham against the club he left. If you have searched this one as a Tottenham vs Newcastle prediction, the hosts are where our call lands, but not without goals at both ends.
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Who Will Win Tottenham vs Newcastle
We’re backing Tottenham to win, but in a game that produces plenty of goals rather than a controlled one. With a single league fixture played, the read comes from the opening weekend, the summer window, and Saturday’s fitness list. The market frames Spurs as home favourites near 21/20, and the models agree they’re the likeliest winners, though none of them makes it a runaway.
Start with what separates them: Newcastle sold Bruno Guimaraes to Arsenal, Tonali to Spurs and Anthony Gordon to Barcelona, and Jaissle has had barely a month to assemble a midfield from what remains. Tottenham kept their spine and added to it, so even after the Brentford mess they hold the better central platform on paper.
The goals, though, look nailed on. Spurs conceded three at Brentford off just 0.47 xG of their own; Newcastle shipped two to Liverpool and answered with two of their own. Across the head-to-head these sides average close to four goals a game and both have scored in almost every recent meeting.
That’s why over 2.5 and both teams to score are the two markets the numbers back hardest, and why we expect Spurs to edge it without keeping a clean sheet.
Top 3 Betting Tips for Tottenham vs Newcastle
| Pick | Market | Odds |
|---|---|---|
|
Pick 1 |
Tottenham to win |
21/20 |
|
Pick 2 |
Over 2.5 goals |
7/10 |
|
Pick 3 |
Both teams to score, Yes |
4/7 |
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Tottenham to Win at 21/20
Recent history sits with Newcastle, who have won the last three league meetings, so backing Spurs is a bet on how much this summer changed. Newcastle arrive without Guimaraes, Tonali and Gordon, with a fortnight-old midfield, and yet to win on the road.
Tottenham have home advantage, a settled spine and a pressing need to answer the Brentford defeat. De Zerbi’s side were genuinely poor on the opening day, which is why this is a lean rather than a strong stance, but a wounded home favourite against a rebuilt visiting midfield is a defensible place to side with the hosts.
Over 2.5 Goals at 7/10
This is the pick the data leans on most heavily. The last five meetings between these two averaged well over three goals, four of them cleared 2.5, and the wider rivalry is famous for it: none of their 61 top-flight games has ever ended goalless.
The opening weekend only reinforced the trend, with both defences beaten repeatedly. A back four that conceded three at Brentford and a Newcastle rearguard missing Dan Burn should keep the scoreboard ticking, and at 7/10 the price undervalues how reliably this fixture delivers goals.
Both Teams to Score Yes at 4/7
Newcastle’s attack is the most dependable unit on the pitch. They scored twice against Liverpool in Jaissle’s first game, Nick Woltemade offers a physical focal point, and Anthony Elanga and Harvey Barnes carry pace in behind, so the visitors finding the net looks close to a formality.
Tottenham, for all their opening-day misery, will create at a full home stadium against a defence that has kept few clean sheets against them. With both ends likely to be breached, this shortens into the anchor of the correct-score call.
Tottenham vs Newcastle Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Tottenham | Draw | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|---|
|
|
21/20 |
13/5 |
23/10 |
|
|
1/1 |
11/4 |
2/1 |
|
|
11/10 |
29/10 |
47/20 |
Spurs sit around 21/20 to win, Newcastle drift out near 23/10 and the draw lands about 13/5. Set against a head-to-head Newcastle have dominated lately, that’s a striking shape, and it’s the summer sales rather than anything on the pitch that explain it: strip three key players from a squad and the market notices.
The live question is whether 23/10 flatters Newcastle or reflects a genuine downgrade. A side that keeps beating this opponent at a shortish away price has appeal, but a midfield assembled in weeks is a real unknown. Prices this wide reward a quick comparison across books before committing.
For learning how to read these prices, check out our reading odds guide, while comparing bookmakers is the best way to understand and utilise line shopping.
Tottenham vs Newcastle Form Guide and Stats
| Metric (2025/26 season) | Tottenham | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
|
Final league position |
17th |
12th |
|
Points |
41 |
49 |
|
Record (W-D-L) |
11-8-19 |
14-7-17 |
|
2026/27 opening result |
Lost 3-0 at Brentford |
Drew 2-2 v Liverpool |
|
Manager |
Roberto De Zerbi |
Matthias Jaissle |
These numbers describe last season, and last season was poor for both. Spurs scraped survival in 17th, Newcastle slid to 12th and out of Europe five points short. Neither reads as the platform a fan would want going into a new campaign.
What travels into Saturday is thinner still. Newcastle changed manager and lost the core of their midfield; Tottenham reshaped their own side around Tonali, Fernandes and van Hecke. The opening weekend gave the first live evidence, and it was unflattering for both: a 3-0 loss and a leaky draw. Read the block for context, not as a guide to how either team plays now.
Curious how ready these squads are coming out of pre-season? Our football fitness testing and recovery research is a useful lens for weighing which squad holds up across ninety minutes when both are early in a manager’s cycle.
Tottenham Recent Form and Results
- Brentford 3-0 Tottenham, Premier League, 22 August 2026 (L)
- End of 2025/26: finished 17th, 41 points, survived on the final day
- Final day 2025/26: beat Everton to secure survival
- 2025/26 home record: won only a handful of league games at home
- Key summer arrivals: Tonali, Mateus Fernandes, van Hecke, Savio, Robertson, Senesi
The one competitive data point of the new season is a warning. At Brentford, Spurs were outrun and outfought, managed 0.47 xG across the whole game, and saw goalkeeper Antonin Kinsky at fault for two goals as a costly new-look side looked anything but settled.
A caveat and a note of caution sit side by side. It was one match, and a full home crowd can drag a struggling team back to life, so a sharp response would not be a shock. But Spurs won only a handful of home league games last season, and until the defending improves, the concern that undid them at Brentford has not gone away.
Newcastle Recent Form and Results
- Newcastle 2-2 Liverpool, Premier League, 23 August 2026 (D)
- End of 2025/26: finished 12th, 49 points, missed Europe by five points
- Reached the Champions League round of 16 in 2025/26
- Key summer exits: Guimaraes (Arsenal), Tonali (Tottenham), Gordon (Barcelona), Trippier (Wolves)
- Key summer changes: Jaissle appointed head coach; Woltemade leads the line
Newcastle’s 2-2 with Liverpool was an encouraging watch in one respect: they twice found a way back into the game and matched the visitors for long spells, evidence that the attack still functions even mid-rebuild.
The worry is everywhere else. This is their first away game of the season, the midfield has been rebuilt from scratch around Jacob Ramsey and Lewis Miley, and the defence will be without Burn. Woltemade, Elanga and Barnes give Jaissle a front line that can hurt anyone, but a new manager with weeks on the training ground, on the road, against a side desperate for a win, is a demanding way to start.
Tottenham vs Newcastle Head to Head Record
- 10 Feb 2026, Premier League, Tottenham 1-2 Newcastle
- 2 Dec 2025, Premier League, Newcastle 2-2 Tottenham
- 29 Oct 2025, EFL Cup, Newcastle 2-0 Tottenham
- 4 Jan 2025, Premier League, Tottenham 1-2 Newcastle
- 1 Sep 2024, Premier League, Newcastle 2-1 Tottenham
Newcastle have run this fixture lately, taking the last three league meetings and both games of 2024/25, which makes Tottenham’s status as favourites a verdict on the summer rather than the history. For betting purposes the more useful thread is the goals: every game in this run saw both sides score, and most sailed past 2.5, exactly the pattern the over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score picks are built on.
Tottenham vs Newcastle Match Preview
Everything about Tottenham’s week points to urgency. The Brentford result put early heat on De Zerbi, and a flat performance in front of a home crowd is not an option, so expect Spurs to start on the front foot, press high and get Tonali and Fernandes turned and running at a makeshift Newcastle midfield.
Newcastle will not simply absorb it. Jaissle’s teams at Salzburg and Al Ahli played fast and vertical, and with Woltemade to aim for and pace outside him, they carry a counter-punch that a high Spurs line could feed. Set-piece height is another route in for a visiting side that may see less of the ball.
How does it play out? The game likely hinges on Tottenham’s defending of transition. Brentford exploited exactly that space a week earlier, and if Spurs leave it open again, Newcastle have the runners to punish them. Control the second balls and the hosts should dominate; lose them and this becomes the shoot-out the odds half expect.
For a fixture that so rarely disappoints on goals, it’s worth having an account ready. If you’re deciding where to place these bets, see our football betting sites, and if you’re new to it, start with our first bet guide.
Where to Watch Tottenham vs Newcastle Live Stream and TV Channel
| Country | Broadcaster |
|---|---|
|
UK |
Sky Sports |
-
Kick-off: Saturday 29 August 2026, 17:30 BST. Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London.
Tottenham vs Newcastle Predicted Lineups
De Zerbi may freshen a Spurs side that flopped at Brentford, working around several attacking absentees, while Jaissle picks from a squad thinned by summer sales and carrying a couple of fitness doubts. The predicted line-ups below reflect the latest team news, and will firm up when the sheets land about an hour before kick-off.
Tottenham Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
|
Goalkeeper (GK) |
Kinsky |
|
Defenders |
Gray, van Hecke, Senesi, Robertson |
|
Midfielders |
Tonali, Fernandes, Gallagher |
|
Forwards |
Savio, Solanke, Tel |
|
Formation |
4-3-3 |
|
Unavailable |
Kulusevski (injury), Odobert (injury), Simons (injury), Maddison (injury); Kudus, Sarr (game-day fitness) |
|
Manager |
Roberto De Zerbi |
The whole side tilts around Tonali, back in a Spurs shirt against his former club and expected to sit deep alongside Fernandes with Gallagher pushing on. Out wide, Savio and Mathys Tel give De Zerbi runners to stretch Newcastle, and Dominic Solanke leads the line if his fitness holds.
Three points here would take much of the sting out of the opening-day fallout.
Newcastle Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
|
Goalkeeper (GK) |
Hornicek |
|
Defenders |
Dedic, Thiaw, Botman, Hall |
|
Midfielders |
Ramsey, Miley |
|
Forwards |
Elanga, Wissa, Barnes |
|
Striker |
Woltemade |
|
Formation |
4-2-3-1 |
|
Unavailable |
Joelinton (injury), Burn (injury); Livramento, Osula (game-day fitness) |
|
Manager |
Matthias Jaissle |
Woltemade spearheads the attack as the record buy tasked with filling the Isak-sized gap, flanked by Elanga and Barnes with Wissa in support. The engine room is the unresolved part: a Ramsey and Miley pairing thrown together after the exits of Guimaraes and Tonali, and the zone Tottenham will target to take control of the game.
Team News, Injuries and Suspensions
- Tottenham: Dejan Kulusevski, Wilson Odobert, Xavi Simons and James Maddison all out injured; Mohammed Kudus (thigh) and Pape Sarr rated game-day decisions.
- Newcastle: Joelinton and Dan Burn out injured; Tino Livramento and Will Osula rated fitness doubts and facing late tests.
It’s early enough that no booking totals are in play and no suspensions loom, and neither club has European football to juggle, though Spurs do have an EFL Cup tie against Charlton in the week before this.
The calls that matter are the fitness ones, chiefly Kudus and Sarr for the hosts and Livramento for the visitors, so make sure to check the final XIs once they drop.
Key Battles in Tottenham vs Newcastle
Three contests stand out: Tonali facing the club that sold him, Woltemade against a shaky home defence, and a rebuilt Newcastle midfield trying to hold firm away from St James’ Park. Peter Bankes is the appointed referee.
Sandro Tonali vs His Former Newcastle Midfield
This is where the narrative and the tactics meet. Tonali left for £100m and now has to govern the tempo against a Newcastle engine room rebuilt without him or Guimaraes. If he gets time on the ball, Spurs run the game; if Ramsey and Miley can crowd him and Fernandes early, Newcastle keep it level and dangerous.
Nick Woltemade vs the Tottenham Defence
Woltemade is the visitors’ surest route to goal, a tall, mobile striker who scored early last season and gives Newcastle an aerial outlet. With van de Ven a doubt and Spurs’ back line freshly exposed at Brentford, how they handle his movement and hold-up play may decide whether Newcastle leave with something.
How Newcastle's New Midfield Copes on the Road
The clearest variable is Newcastle’s rebuilt centre. A pairing assembled in weeks, without the players who anchored recent sides, faces a Spurs team that will try to dominate the ball from the first whistle. If the new midfield settles, Jaissle’s structure can frustrate the hosts; if it is overrun, Tottenham’s pressure will find the openings.
Where to Bet on Tottenham vs Newcastle
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Tottenham vs Newcastle Score Prediction
-
Final prediction: Tottenham 3-2 Newcastle. Confidence: narrow on the result, high on the goals. Best bet: over 2.5 goals at 7/10.
The goals side of this is the part I hold with real conviction. This fixture averages close to four goals a game, both these defences leaked on the opening weekend, and Newcastle’s attack scored twice against Liverpool despite everything that has changed around it. Expecting a low-scoring, tidy afternoon here would ignore almost everything the data says.
The result is the harder half. The models split fairly evenly, but they and the market agree Spurs are the likeliest winners, and I follow that logic: at home, under pressure, with a stronger midfield platform than a Newcastle side that sold Guimaraes, Tonali and Gordon. What I will not do is pair that with a clean sheet, because the visitors are simply too likely to score.
Putting the two together lands on a 3-2 home win rather than the tidier 2-1 the market often reaches for. The single strongest angle is over 2.5 goals, with both teams to score close behind and a Tottenham win the pick for those who want the result. It’s a bold scoreline, but it’s the one the evidence points to. Whatever you back, do it within your means, and our bankroll management guide is worth two minutes first.
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Tottenham vs Newcastle FAQ
Who is most likely to win, Tottenham or Newcastle?
Tottenham, on a narrow call. Playing at home, needing a response after losing 3-0 at Brentford, and holding a stronger midfield than a Newcastle side that sold Guimaraes, Tonali and Gordon, Spurs are the market’s and the models’ favoured winners. Newcastle have won the recent meetings, though, so it is close, and we predict a 3-2 home win.
Who is better, Tottenham or Newcastle?
On last season Newcastle finished higher, 12th to Tottenham’s 17th, and they have had the better of recent head-to-heads. But both endured poor campaigns, and a summer of change at each club, including Newcastle losing three key midfielders, makes them hard to separate going into 2026/27.
What are the chances Tottenham will win?
Reasonable as home favourites, with the price near 21/20 implying a little under half. Independent models put Tottenham’s win chance in roughly the 40 to 47 per cent band, ahead of Newcastle but well short of a certainty. Confirm the live price before betting.
What is the score prediction for Tottenham vs Newcastle?
We make it Tottenham 3-2 Newcastle. The fixture’s heavy goals history and two defences that leaked on the opening weekend point to a high-scoring game, and while Spurs are favoured to win it, Newcastle look certain to score, which is why over 2.5 goals and both teams to score sit alongside a home win as our picks.
What are the best Tottenham vs Newcastle odds?
The sharpest prices for where you are sit in our UK odds table and toplist. Compare the Tottenham, draw and Newcastle prices side by side across bookmakers, and use line shopping to take the biggest number on whatever you back.
When is Tottenham vs Newcastle being played?
Saturday 29 August 2026, kick-off 17:30 BST, at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. It is a Matchweek 2 fixture in the 2026/27 Premier League season.
What channel is Tottenham vs Newcastle on?
In the UK the match is live on Sky Sports, shown in the Saturday 5:30pm slot. Check your Sky Sports listing on the day for the exact channel and any Main Event simulcast.
Where can I bet on Tottenham vs Newcastle?
At the UKGC-licensed bookmakers in our toplist, which shows the operators and offers available in the UK. Always check that a bookmaker is licensed by the Gambling Commission and bet within your means.