The Ballon d'Or Award is an annual award for the best international football player, awarded by a panel of selected journalists from the top football playing countries. In the lead up to the Ballon d'Or in 2024 there is a lot of speculation about who will win. We have scoured the web and found these predictions.
Men's Ballon d'Or for 2024
The 2024 award is to be decided over the 2023/24 season as well as the 2024 international tournaments (including Euro 2024). In 2023, Lionel Messi won a record eighth Ballon d'Or award. That was likely the end of an era, probably his last Ballon d'Or, particularly if he continues to play for Inter Miami in the MLS. Ronaldo, another player who has jointly dominated the Ballon d'Or in the last 15 years, is also playing outside of the European leagues and is probably out of contention for this year's award.
How do the top football websites rank the contenders for the men's Ballon d'Or in 2024? We have collated the opinions of a few of the top football websites to compare.
The 2023 Kopa Trophy (for the best U/21 player) winner Jude Bellingham was an early favorite, though as the year has progressed, Rodri's performances, culminating in the Euro 2024 Player of the Tournament final, has him as favorite.
All these predictions are purely speculative, and note that many were made nearly a year out from the 2024 award ceremony.
Predictor | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sportingnews.com (Oct 23) | Bellingham | Mbappe | Haaland | ||
Football Manager 2024 (Nov 23) | Mbappe | Lewandowski | Bellingham | ||
BBC Vote (Oct 23) | Bellingham | Haaland | Mbappe | Kane | Vinicius Jr |
goal.com (July 24) | Rodri | Vinicius Jr | Bellingham | Carvajal | Martinez |
goal.com (Oct 23) | Bellingham | Mbappe | Haaland | Kane | Mo Salah |
90min.com (Jul 24) | Vinicius Jr | Bellingham | Mbappe | Kane | Rodri |
Givemesport.com (Jul 24) | Vinicius Jr | Rodri | Bellingham | Yamal | Mbappe |
Independent Betting (Nov 23) | Bellingham | Mbappe | Haaland | Kane | Messi |
3 Added Minutes (Oct 23) | Haaland | Bellingham | Mbappe | Kane | Rodri |
Women's Ballon d'Or
Predictions for the women's Ballon d'Or 2024 award are much harder to find.
Predictor | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
goal.com (May 2024) | Aitana Bonmati | Caroline Graham Hansen | Kadidiatou Diani | Salma Paralluelo | Mariona Caldentey |
sportsbrief.com | |||||
gambling.com | |||||
Sources:
- sportingnews.com: only three players were listed (from Oct 2023)
- Football Manager 2024: in November 2023 they predicted the next ten Ballon d'Or winners. In 2024, the predicted winner was Kylian Mbappe (they also predicted that he would win in 2025, 2026 and 2027.
- BBC Voting: On an online vote, 47% of people thought Jude Bellingham would win in 2024, 31% of them thought it would be Erling Haaland (from Oct 2023)
- goal.com: based on the power ranking taken at different times in the year
- 90min.com: "The favourites to win the Ballon d'Or 2024 - ranked"
- Givemesport.com: They have ranked the players based on these factors: Goals scored, Assists, Clean sheets (if defensive-minded), Trophies won/challenging for, Big moments in 2023-24 and in major international tournaments and General form.
- Independent Betting: based on betting odds listed on https://www.independent.co.uk/
- 3 Added Minutes: (article published 31 Oct 2023)
- fourfourtwo.com: predictions were found on this website in previous years
- football365.com: predictions were found on this website in previous years
Related Pages
- All predictions for the Ballon d'Or
- Ballon d'Or Home
- Men's all-time Ballon d'Or Winner's List
- Football Awards Lists
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