Which world athletics record time will be broken next, the 100m in 9.5 seconds or a marathon in 2 hours? This poll was started a few years ago when the 100m world record was still 9.78 (it is now 9.58 seconds by Usain Bolt) and the marathon record was 2:04.55 (it is currently 2:01:09 by Kenya's Eliud Kipchoge), so they are both getting closer. In 2019, Kipchoge broke the 2 hour barrier, but had a little help so it is not official.
See also our new world record poll: which long standing men's world record will be broken next—pole vault or high jump?
Disclaimer: These polls are not scientific, and only reflect the opinion of visitors to this website who have chosen to participate.
- See also our new world record poll: which world record will be broken next—pole vault or high jump?
- Other Athletics Polls
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- World Record progression for the 100m and the marathon
- Sub 2-hour marathon blog post
Commenting is closed on this page, though you can read some previous comments below which may answer some of your questions.
- I really believe it will be the marathon as training can be done on the aerobic energy system to gradually obtain this goal which is a very hard goal indeed but seems of the two to be more achievable. As for the ballistic speed of the 100m sprinter is so great I feel that a whole new technique of the initial push off would have to be found before there is such a dramatic change of time taken to finish the 100m but I guess sometime in the future this will be found and no doubt this will be achieved at some point. Dada (2019)
- I feel the marathon will get broken before the 100m because the 100m has been getting a lot of scrutiny i.e. athletes testing positive to banned substances. Champs (2019)
- No need to guess, there is an objective sport's law, which allows the formula to calculate the result of any rank in the single global rating scale. Twenty-five years, when all world records are subject to that universal human potential physical laws. It would be interesting and useful, but high sports organizations do not want to pay for such information. 100m-9.5s-15.6213-rank; 42195m-2:00:00-15.7279-rank (best)
100m-9.436s-15.7279; 10km-25:42,09; 100km-6:01:19.40
300km-22:46:08.48; HJ-2.55m; LJ-9.28m; SP-24.36m; DT-78.26m;Swim.free 100m-45.46s;1500m-14:09.17;10 km-1:43:58.48; Weigtlift. 77kg-405kg; Speed skat. 10km-12:31.66; Skiing class. 50km-2:01:54,68; Roller skat. 20km-28:00.42
Each world record in the sport - a random event, but his ranking points to the natural expression of a full-fledged membership in the system of world records. 100m-9.58s-15.4908 rank; norm. record-9.744s-15.2300 rank; HJ-2.45m-15.2376; norm. HJ-2.448m-15.2300; PV-6.14m-15.3401; norm. PV-6.12m-15.2300; 42195m-2:03:02-15.3401; norm.-2:03:55.37s-15.2300 rank. (from Polius, Aug 2011)
- A new sprinter could enter the sports world with an amazing time but I can't see 5 minutes being knocked off the marathon time.
- There is much more scope in a marathon to shave off a second or two, whereas the 100m has reached about as fast as it can get.