Premier League
vs
Leeds to Win (2-1)
A flying home side welcomes last season’s cup double winners to Elland Road, and we’re backing Leeds to edge it 2-1.
Momentum sits firmly with the hosts here. Leeds tore into Newcastle last time out, running out 4-1 winners and stretching a scoring run that now stands at twelve league games on the bounce. Palace, meanwhile, are still finding their feet after a summer spent celebrating: a 2-3 home slip against Ipswich left them stuck in the bottom half with just three points on the board.
There’s history and needle underneath it too. The Eagles arrive as reigning Conference League and Community Shield holders, yet that silverware hasn’t translated into league form, and they’ll be without Axel Disasi after his dismissal. Whether you’re weighing up a Leeds vs Crystal Palace prediction or working through the wider Saturday card, the value looks to be with the home team.
👉 For more across the season, see our Premier League predictions hub.
Who Will Win Leeds vs Crystal Palace
Leeds are the call, and we expect a tight but decisive home win. The bookmakers have the hosts as favourites around 8/11, and the reasons stack up: a top-three start, a relentless scoring habit, and an Elland Road crowd that lifts this team. Palace turn up patchy in the league and a man lighter in defence after Disasi’s red.
Leeds’ attacking rhythm is the headline. Twelve straight league matches with a goal is no accident, and the 4-1 dismantling of Newcastle showed a side hitting its stride at the right moment. Dominic Calvert-Lewin leads the line as the team’s chief creator and finisher, and the front two carry a genuine threat against a rejigged back line.
Palace aren’t without their own spark, having scored in four league games running and already banking a 3-2 win at Fulham, but the defensive picture worries. Shipping three at home to Ipswich and losing Disasi to suspension leaves Pierre Sage patching things together. The away record reads two wins and a loss, so this is no walkover, but the balance of form and setting tilts towards Leeds, so a home win by the odd goal is the shape we back.
Top 3 Betting Tips for Leeds vs Crystal Palace
| Pick | Market | Odds |
|---|---|---|
|
Pick 1 |
Leeds to win |
8/11 |
|
Pick 2 |
Under 2.5 goals |
21/20 |
|
Pick 3 |
Dominic Calvert-Lewin to score anytime |
11/10 |
Not sure how a totals line or an anytime-scorer bet works? Our bet types guide walks through each one, and the betting glossary covers any wording you don’t recognise.
Leeds to Win at 8/11
The straightforward read looks the right one. Leeds sit in the top three, they’ve scored in every league game this season, and they meet a Palace side that leaked three at home last week and lost a defender to a red card. The price is short because the case is sound.
Palace’s habit of finding goals on the road keeps a flicker of doubt alive, but form, setting and squad availability all lean the hosts’ way. Of everything on the coupon, backing Leeds is the most dependable single play.
Under 2.5 Goals at 21/20
For all the scoring headlines, the market makes the low total the marginal favourite, and the last meeting between these two ended 0-0. A Palace side missing Disasi is likely to sit deeper and protect what they have, which points to a controlled contest rather than a free-for-all. Taking under 2.5 offers a shade of value at odds-against.
A 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 home win all land this, and each reads as a plausible night’s work given how the market has framed the goals line. It’s a tidy alternative for anyone who fancies Leeds but wants the game to stay compact.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin to Score Anytime at 11/10
Calvert-Lewin is the man Leeds funnel their chances toward, leading the side for expected goals and assists, and he sits at the tip of an attack that simply keeps finding the net. Against a Palace back line short of Disasi and low on clean sheets, the openings should be there.
The usual caveats around rotation and fitness apply, so it’s one to confirm nearer kick-off. Lead the line as expected, though, and he’s a strong bet to get on the scoresheet against a reshuffled visiting defence.
Leeds vs Crystal Palace Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Leeds | Draw | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|---|
|
|
8/11 |
13/5 |
10/3 |
|
|
8/11 |
13/5 |
10/3 |
|
|
7/9 |
13/5 |
3/1 |
The market’s steer is clear enough: Leeds sitting between 8/11 and 7/9, Palace drifting out towards 10/3 and beyond, and the draw parked around 13/5. For a set of cup holders, that’s a modest show of faith, and it traces straight back to the leaky home defeat and the summer scoring form of the hosts.
Worth flagging: the totals line points the other way from the goal-heavy narrative, with under 2.5 the slight favourite at 21/20. Either way, at these numbers the value sits in how tight Leeds keep it and who finds the net, rather than in the result itself.
Our reading odds guide spells out what each price pays back, and line shopping is how you wring the best possible number out of a short-priced favourite.
Leeds vs Crystal Palace Form Guide and Stats
| Metric (2026/27 season) | Leeds | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
|
Current league position |
Top 3 |
Top 16 |
|
Points |
8 |
3 |
|
Home / away form |
3 home wins |
2 away wins, 1 loss |
|
Last league result |
Won 4-1 v Newcastle |
Lost 2-3 v Ipswich |
|
Scoring streak |
12 games scoring |
4 games scoring |
|
Manager |
Daniel Farke |
Pierre Sage |
Those 2026/27 columns capture two clubs pulling in different directions early on. Leeds have turned a solid start into a top-three perch, backed by a scoring run that shows no sign of drying up; Palace are carrying last season’s cup glory but haven’t yet found league consistency.
The recent picture says plenty. Leeds swept Newcastle aside and keep filling their boots at Elland Road, while Palace’s home reverse to Ipswich and Disasi’s red card have knocked the wind out of their week. Read the table as the backdrop to a fixture whose momentum sits squarely with the hosts.
Conditioning is one thing the headline odds seldom price in, and it matters in a fixture this finely poised. Our football fitness testing and recovery research is a handy lens on which group looks physically primed for a demanding Saturday-afternoon test.
Leeds Recent Form and Results
- Leeds 4-1 Newcastle, Premier League, 14 September 2026 (W)
- Chelsea 6-3 Leeds, EFL Cup, 9 September 2026 (L)
- Brighton 1-1 Leeds, Premier League, 5 September 2026 (D)
- Top three in the table on 8 points, staying up for a second straight season
- Scored in 12 consecutive matches this season
Leeds are humming at the right end of the pitch. The 4-1 rout of Newcastle underlined a side brimming with goals, and even the chastening 6-3 cup loss at Chelsea showed an attack that refuses to go quiet. The Brighton draw kept the away points ticking over.
The engine of it all is a front line led by Dominic Calvert-Lewin, with Daniel Farke’s men now on a twelve-game scoring streak. Defensively they can be got at, as Chelsea proved, but at Elland Road, with the crowd behind them, this is a team playing with real confidence.
Crystal Palace Recent Form and Results
- Crystal Palace 2-3 Ipswich, Premier League, 12 September 2026 (L)
- Crystal Palace 3-0 Middlesbrough, EFL Cup, 8 September 2026 (W)
- Fulham 2-3 Crystal Palace, Premier League, 5 September 2026 (W)
- Sit in the bottom half on 3 points despite last season’s cup double
- Axel Disasi suspended after a red card
Palace are a mixed bag right now. The 3-2 win at Fulham and the routine cup victory over Middlesbrough showed their quality, but the home defeat to Ipswich exposed a soft underbelly at the back that Leeds will look to target.
The bigger issue is defensive stability, and losing Axel Disasi to suspension only sharpens it. Pierre Sage has goals in his side, with a four-game scoring run of their own, but a reshuffled back line heading to a fired-up Elland Road is a tough ask.
Leeds vs Crystal Palace Head to Head Record
- Overall: 32 Leeds wins, 18 draws, 20 Crystal Palace wins
- Last meeting: Crystal Palace 0-0 Leeds, Premier League, 15 March 2026
The long view favours Leeds, who lead the all-time series comfortably with 32 wins to Palace’s 20. That said, the sides can cancel each other out, as the goalless draw in their most recent meeting back in March showed. That tight recent history is part of why the under-2.5 angle sits nicely alongside backing Leeds straight.
Leeds vs Crystal Palace Match Preview
Leeds will want to pick up where they left off against Newcastle, pressing high and using the Elland Road noise to pin Palace back early. With a scoring streak this long and a settled front pairing, Farke’s brief is simple: keep the tempo up and make the visitors’ patched defence work from the first whistle.
Palace’s answer will be to weather the opening and hit on the break, leaning on the goals they’ve found on the road and the movement of Yeremy Pino and Daichi Kamada behind Jorgen Strand Larsen. Without Disasi, though, Sage has to reorganise at the back, and that’s the very area Leeds are best placed to exploit.
It likely comes down to one question: can Palace’s reshuffled defence hold firm against a home side that scores in every game? If the answer is no, Leeds should set the tempo and take the points.
Lining up a bet on this one? Our football betting sites round-up shows where to play, with a first bet guide on hand for anyone new to it.
Where to Watch Leeds vs Crystal Palace Live Stream and TV Channel
| Country | Broadcaster |
|---|---|
|
UK |
Sky Sports / TNT Sports / NOW |
-
Kick-off: Saturday 20 September 2026, 14:00 BST. Venue: Elland Road, Leeds.
Leeds vs Crystal Palace Predicted Lineups
Farke names a settled, in-form side, while Sage has to reshape his defence around Disasi’s suspension. The XIs below are best estimates from the latest team news, and won’t be locked in until the sheets land roughly an hour before kick-off.
Leeds Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
|
Goalkeeper (GK) |
Trafford |
|
Defenders |
Muharemovic, Elvedi, Justin |
|
Midfielders |
Bogle, Tanaka, Ampadu, Stach, Gudmundsson |
|
Forwards |
Okafor, Calvert-Lewin |
|
Formation |
3-5-2 |
|
Unavailable |
None reported |
|
Manager |
Daniel Farke |
Farke can pick from strength, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin leading the line as the team’s most productive attacker and Noah Okafor alongside him for pace and movement. Ethan Ampadu and Anton Stach give the midfield its steel, while the wing-backs push high to stretch Palace. The plan will lean on Elland Road’s atmosphere and quick, direct attacks to keep the pressure on a reshuffled visiting defence.
Crystal Palace Predicted XI
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
|
Goalkeeper (GK) |
Benitez |
|
Defenders |
Ahanor, Tomiyasu, Richards |
|
Midfielders |
Mitchell, Wharton, Timber, Khalaili |
|
Forwards |
Kamada, Pino, Strand Larsen |
|
Formation |
3-4-2-1 |
|
Unavailable |
Axel Disasi (suspended) |
|
Manager |
Pierre Sage |
Sage’s shape runs through Adam Wharton and Quinten Timber in central midfield, with Tyrick Mitchell a threat down the left and Jorgen Strand Larsen leading the line. Yeremy Pino and Daichi Kamada operate in the pockets to link the play. With Axel Disasi suspended, the back three is reshuffled, and Palace will need to be disciplined out of possession to blunt Leeds’ momentum at Elland Road.
Team News, Injuries and Suspensions
- Leeds: No injuries or suspensions reported, leaving Daniel Farke free to name his strongest side. Dominic Calvert-Lewin, the team’s leading man for expected goals and assists, spearheads the attack.
- Crystal Palace: Axel Disasi is suspended after a red card, forcing a reshuffle at the back; Tyrick Mitchell, Palace’s top league scorer, remains a key outlet from the left.
The contrast is clear. Leeds head into this one with a clean bill of health and a settled, in-form line-up, while Palace must patch up a defence missing the suspended Disasi.
The main late call is who slots into Palace’s back three in place of Disasi, so it’s worth a final look at the confirmed sheets once they drop.
Key Battles in Leeds vs Crystal Palace
Three contests should shape the afternoon: Leeds’ wing-backs against Palace’s wide overloads, the midfield tug-of-war between control and disruption, and the aerial duels in both boxes. The referee will be confirmed in the matchday appointments.
Leeds' Wing-Back Engine vs Palace's Wide Overloads
Leeds’ 3-5-2 lives and dies by its wing-backs, with Jayden Bogle and Gabriel Gudmundsson bombing forward to supply the front two. Palace’s 3-4-2-1 packs bodies wide through Tyrick Mitchell and the roaming forwards, so these flanks become the game’s main battleground. Whoever wins the wide exchanges dictates where this match is played.
The Midfield Chess Match: Control vs Disruption
In the middle, Ethan Ampadu and Anton Stach look to give Leeds a platform, while Adam Wharton and Quinten Timber try to break the game up and spring Palace forward. It’s control against disruption, and the side that imposes its rhythm here will likely shape the outcome. Leeds’ extra man in the engine room could prove telling.
Aerial Battleground in Both Boxes
Both boxes promise a physical contest in the air. Dominic Calvert-Lewin gives Leeds a genuine aerial focal point, while Jorgen Strand Larsen offers Palace the same at the other end. With a reshuffled Palace defence missing Disasi, set pieces and crosses into the area could be where this game is won and lost.
Where to Bet on Leeds vs Crystal Palace
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Leeds vs Crystal Palace Score Prediction
-
Final prediction: Leeds 2-1 Crystal Palace. Confidence: solid on the result. Best bet: Leeds to win at 8/11.
This is a game where the momentum reads more clearly than the goal count. Leeds are flying, top three and scoring in every match, and they host a Palace side that lost 2-3 at home last week and must reshape a defence missing the suspended Disasi. The short price on Leeds reflects a real edge in form and setting, not just home advantage.
Palace keep a sliver of hope alive with their travelling record and their own scoring habit, and last season’s cup double proves they can rise to an occasion, but a reshuffled back line at a raucous Elland Road is a hard place to steady the ship. I expect Leeds to control the game and nick it by the odd goal.
That lands on a 2-1 home win, with Leeds to win the firmest call and under 2.5 goals the value angle that the market itself points towards. One caveat: Palace’s away form and goal threat mean this isn’t risk-free, but the weight of current evidence sits with the hosts. Keep any stake within your limits, and a couple of minutes with our bankroll management guide is time well spent beforehand.
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Leeds vs Crystal Palace FAQ
Who is most likely to win, Leeds or Crystal Palace?
Leeds, on current form. The hosts sit in the top three, are unbeaten at home and have scored in every game this season, while Palace arrive off a 2-3 home defeat and without the suspended Axel Disasi. The market makes Leeds favourites around 8/11, and we predict a 2-1 home win.
Who is better, Leeds or Crystal Palace?
On this season’s evidence, Leeds have the edge, sitting top three on 8 points to Palace’s 3. Palace are the reigning Conference League and Community Shield winners, which speaks to their pedigree, but their league form has been inconsistent going into this game.
What are the chances Leeds will win?
Strong. The bookmakers price Leeds around 8/11, implying they are clear favourites, and their home form and scoring streak back that up. Palace’s decent away record keeps some doubt in play, so confirm the price before betting.
What is the score prediction for Leeds vs Crystal Palace?
We make it 2-1 Leeds. The hosts have been scoring freely at Elland Road, and while Palace carry a threat on the road, a defence missing Disasi looks vulnerable, so backing Leeds to win, ideally with under 2.5 goals, is our lead.
What are the best Leeds vs Crystal Palace odds?
The sharpest prices for where you are sit in our UK odds table and toplist. Compare the Leeds, draw and Crystal Palace prices side by side across bookmakers, and let line shopping secure the best available number on whatever market you back.
When is Leeds vs Crystal Palace being played?
Saturday 20 September 2026, kick-off 14:00 BST, at Elland Road. It is a Matchweek 5 fixture in the 2026/27 Premier League season.
What channel is Leeds vs Crystal Palace on?
In the UK, Premier League matches are shown live on Sky Sports and TNT Sports, with contract-free streaming via NOW Sports and Discovery+. Check the day’s listings for the exact channel carrying this fixture.
Where can I bet on Leeds vs Crystal Palace?
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