2020 Predicted Medal Tally

There is still quite a long time to go before the 2020 Summer Olympic Games in Tokyo, though there is still interest in how each nation may perform. There are some models that provide a prediction of the final medal tally for the 2020 Tokyo Olympic Games. Here are the top 10 positions from each prediction model that we have found. The method used to predict the winners varies, some are from scholars using economics and a range of factors to base their prediction, while others use recent competition results and possibly a bit of gut feeling. Once the actual results are known, the accuracy of the prediction equations can be assessed.

There are two sets of tables, one for predictions of the total gold medals won, the other for predicted total medals won. As it is still a long time to go before the Olympics in Tokyo, there not many prediction yet. See more details about each of these prediction models here.

Predicted Gold Medal Tally

No surprise here, USA and China are predicted to top the table.

Table of predicted top 10 countries with TOTAL GOLD medals won

rank Olympic medals predictions
(from 12 Aug 2018)
?
1 USA (49)  
2 China (29)  
3 France (17)  
4 Japan (17)  
5 Germany (17)  
6 Great Britain (16)  
7 Russia (16)  
8 Australia (10)  
9 Netherlands (9)  
10 South Korea (9)  

Predicted Total Medal Tally

No surprise here, USA and China are predicted to top the table.

Table of predicted top 10 countries with TOTAL MEDALS won

rank Olympic medals predictions
(from 12 Aug 2018)
 
1 USA (100)  
2 China (63)  
3 Russia (57)  
4 Germany (51)  
5 Great Britain (50)  
6 France (47)  
7 Japan (46)  
8 Netherlands (40)  
9 Australia (37)  
10 South Korea (24)  

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Olympics Extra

The next Olympics will be the 2020 Tokyo Olympic Games, followed by the Winter Olympics 2022 in Beijing. Check out the list of olympic sports, as well as discontinued and demonstration sports.

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