2020 Tokyo Predicted Medal Tally by Gracenote
Gracenote Sports Virtual Medal Table (VMT) is a popular Olympic Games medal predictor. This predictor uses an algorithm to rank athletes and teams in each Olympic event based on recent competition results, and is regularly updated leading up to the Olympic Games. We have decided to track the changes in the predictions in the lead up to the Tokyo Olympics, and to compare these to the actual medal tallies once the Games are completed. See how these predictions compare to other prediction models in 2020. We did the same for 2016. There are two sets of tables, one for predictions of the total gold medals won, the other for predicted total overall medals won. See more details about each of these prediction models here.
Gracenote Predicted Gold Medal Tally
No surprise here, USA and China are predicted to top the medal table. Host country Japan are predicted to be very successful, as is usually the case with the host country.
Table of predicted top 10 countries with TOTAL GOLD medals won
| rank | Gracenote (from 6 May 2019) |
Gracenote (from 18 July 2019) |
Gracenote (from 27 Aug 2019) |
Gracenote (from 28 Nov 2019) |
Gracenote (Jan 24, 2020) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA (47) | USA (51) | USA (53) | USA (49) | USA (47) | |
| 2 | China (35) | China (38) | China (40) | China (41) | China (43) | |
| 3 | Japan (31) | Japan (29) | Japan (30) | Japan (30) | Japan (30) | |
| 4 | Russia (18) | Russia (17) | Russia (21) | Russia (24) | Russia (25) | |
| 5 | GB (14) | GB (15) | GB (15) | GB (18) | Australia (17) | |
| 6 | Netherlands (14) | Netherlands (13) | Australia (14) | Australia (16) | Netherlands (16) | |
| 7 | South Korea (14) | Australia (13) | Netherlands (12) | Netherlands (14) | GB (13) | |
| 8 | Germany (13) | France (10) | Germany (10) | Germany (9) | New Zealand (12) | |
| 9 | Australia (12) | Germany (10) | South Korea (10) | Italy (9) | Germany (9) | |
| 10 | France (10) | South Korea (10) | France (8) | South Korea (9) | South Korea (9) |
Gracenote Predicted Total Medal Tally
No surprise here, USA and China are predicted to top the table.
Table of predicted top 10 countries with TOTAL MEDALS won
| rank | Gracenote (from 6 May 2019) |
Gracenote (from 18 July 2019) |
Gracenote (from 27 Aug 2019) |
Gracenote (from 28 Nov 2019) |
Gracenote (Jan 24, 2020) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA (123) | USA (126) | USA (124) | USA (119) | USA (117) | |
| 2 | China (76) | China (81) | China (84) | China (86) | China (87) | |
| 3 | Russia (66) | Japan (67) | Japan (71) | Russia (68) | Russia (66) | |
| 4 | Japan (63) | Russia (65) | Russia (66) | Japan (62) | Japan (65) | |
| 5 | GB (46) | GB (43) | GB (43) | Australia (43) | Australia (44) | |
| 6 | Australia (44) | Australia (43) | Germany (41) | GB (42) | GB (42) | |
| 7 | France (41) | France (41) | Australia (38) | Netherlands (42) | Netherlands (41) | |
| 8 | Germany (40) | Germany (38) | France (37) | France (38) | France (37) | |
| 9 | Italy (34) | Netherlands (34) | Netherlands (36) | Germany (33) | Germany (35) | |
| 10 | Netherlands (32) | Italy (32) | Italy (36) | Italy (32) | Italy (32) |
References
- Olympicmedalspredictions - this website (author unknown) makes predictions based on results from major sporting events leading up to the Games.
Related Pages
- all medal predictions for the 2020 Tokyo Olympics
- Gracenote prediction changes for 2016 Rio Olympics
- Gracenote prediction changes for 2018 Winter Olympics
- about Predicted Medal Tables
- more Medal Tallies from each Olympic year
- See more about the Olympics Games in 2020